The research work we do based on current events, Q drops, assessment of interconection of 'disconnected' events, threat assessment, wargaming, + anticipating the next chess move is effectively a test.
The cards are stacked against you, you're understudied (history/law/biographical info), time is critical, information is censored/hidden, your communications are sniffed/censored requiring camo, and yet, we make it work.
It's the work Intel Analysts do.
Teamwork, collaboration, respectful disagreement, calculated risks, + willingness to fail fast + correct on the fly are key.